Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.044800 0.048786 0.052831 0.057233 0.061884 0.066643 0.071876
2025-01-12 0.037985 0.043758 0.049835 0.056682 0.064155 0.072038 0.080959
2025-01-19 0.033628 0.040748 0.048490 0.057474 0.067552 0.078449 0.091065
2025-01-26 0.029343 0.037330 0.046289 0.056972 0.069255 0.082829 0.098858
2025-02-02 0.026270 0.034960 0.044985 0.057233 0.071621 0.087819 0.107268
2025-02-09 0.024169 0.033505 0.044551 0.058337 0.074832 0.093698 0.116666
2025-02-16 0.023042 0.033099 0.045260 0.060712 0.079485 0.101237 0.128017
2025-02-23 0.019964 0.029993 0.042453 0.058636 0.078664 0.102227 0.131622
2025-03-02 0.017897 0.028015 0.040898 0.057957 0.079412 0.104987 0.137251
2025-03-09 0.016189 0.026373 0.039647 0.057550 0.080402 0.107973 0.143110
2025-03-16 0.015606 0.026212 0.040284 0.059522 0.084351 0.114570 0.153366
2025-03-23 0.014723 0.025558 0.040209 0.060529 0.087055 0.119634 0.161774
2025-03-30 0.013777 0.024776 0.039954 0.061323 0.089551 0.124543 0.170152
2025-04-06 0.012497 0.023412 0.038826 0.060897 0.090436 0.127429 0.176051
2025-04-13 0.011758 0.022807 0.038714 0.061812 0.093058 0.132513 0.184721
2025-04-20 0.010663 0.021564 0.037624 0.061328 0.093792 0.135177 0.190355
2025-04-27 0.009888 0.020768 0.037129 0.061626 0.095541 0.139127 0.197622
2025-05-04 0.009416 0.020426 0.037272 0.062800 0.098457 0.144590 0.206831
2025-05-11 0.009322 0.020706 0.038346 0.065305 0.103202 0.152465 0.219179
2025-05-18 0.008082 0.018929 0.036211 0.063125 0.101479 0.151843 0.220594
2025-05-25 0.007296 0.017874 0.035127 0.062413 0.101730 0.153782 0.225293
2025-06-01 0.006637 0.016992 0.034265 0.061985 0.102344 0.156182 0.230583
2025-06-08 0.006542 0.017155 0.035076 0.064062 0.106498 0.163333 0.242119